The Sickcare Innovation Bubble Problem

The Sickcare Innovation Bubble Problem

The Sickcare Innovation Bubble Problem

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by Arlen Meyers

A bubble is an economic cycle characterized by the rapid escalation of asset prices followed by a contraction. It is created by a surge in asset prices unwarranted by the fundamentals of the asset and driven by exuberant market behavior. When no more investors are willing to buy at the elevated price, a massive sell-off occurs, causing the bubble to deflate.

The pattern of a bubble is pretty consistent, despite variations in how the cycle is interpreted.

Displacement: This stage takes place when investors start to notice a new paradigm, like a new product or technology, or historically low interest rates — basically anything that gets their attention.

Boom: Prices start to rise at first, then get momentum as more investors enter the market. This sets up the stage for the boom. There is an overall sense of failing to jump in, causing even more people to start buying assets.

Euphoria: When euphoria hits and asset prices skyrocket, caution is thrown out the window.

Profit taking: Figuring out when the bubble will burst isn’t easy; once a bubble has burst, it will not inflate again. But anyone who looks at the warning signs will make money by selling off positions.

Panic: Asset prices change course and drop as quickly as they rose. Investors and others want to liquidate them at any price. Asset prices decline as supply outshines demand.

A somewhat similar model is the Gartner Hype Cycle.

Some think that there is a digital health bubble, an innovation bubble, a higher ed bubble , a graduate school bubble, a law school bubble and maybe even a medical school bubble.

One report suggests that leading digital health companies have not yet demonstrated substantial impact on disease burden or cost in the US health care system. The findings indicate the importance of fostering an environment, with regard to policy and the consumer market, that encourages the development of evidence-based, high-impact products.

Sick care innovation centers aren’t much better.

I believe whether you believe there is a bubble or not depends on the lens you use to see progress and how you define  and measure the outcome and impact of new things or old things done in a new way:

There might be technology bubbles, but technologies are not necessarily innovations i.e new things or old things done in a new way that create significant multiples of user defined value i.e quality/cost. Here is what you should know about innovation and how to measure it.

Sick care innovation takes a long time and constantly evolves, building on scientific and technological inventions and discoveries requiring a supportive culture, leaderpreneurs and ecosystems.

There are significant barriers to sick care innovation dissemination and implementation, so you need to take the long view

Occaisionally, significant innovations, like anesthesia, antibiotics or clean water, significantly shifts the curve with a rare demonstration of a paroxysm of progress

There are many stakeholders in sick care and each one values a product or service differently and asks for a different value proposition. For example, doctors value quality, patients value experience and convenience. What is a bubble to one is a boon to another

Sick care is a highly regulated industry so the path of progress depends as much on socioeconomic and political winds as it does discovery or inventions

Translating inventions to innovations is the work of entrepreneurs. The sick care entrepreneurial workforce and entrepreneurial cultures are in their infancy. The entrepreneurial mindset is foreign to most sick care professionals.

The educational and workforce models and the resulting talent pipelines producing knowledge technicians are archaic and outdated

The business model of Sickcare USA is not designed to create or value innovation or teach participants how to create it

There is no Moore’s Law in sick care so innovations many times translate into increased costs, not lower ones

There might be technological bubbles, like the dot come bust or digital health froth, but I don’t think there are sick care innovation bubbles. If anything, we are just beginning to learn how to translate inventions to innovations and data to value. Given the pace of progress, many of us won’t be around to see the results, let alone hear the pop.

Like the old Chinese proverb goes, “If you want to know what water is, don’t ask the fish”

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Arlen Meyers, MD, MBA is the President and CEO of the Society of Physician Entrepreneurs at www.sopenet.org and co-editor of Digital Health Entrepreneurship

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March 19, 2019 at 01:11PM

Five Perspectives of Innovators

Five Perspectives of Innovators

Five Perspectives of Innovators

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Innovators are among us and within us, spot them by how they think and do things differently.

Either for individuals or businesses, creativity is a long-term endeavor. It must be cultivated. What fuels creativity? Creativity is a combination of intrinsic and extrinsic factors.

Why can innovators find more view spots than others? Why can innovators think different and connect unusual dots effortlessly? Innovators see possibility in the world when most people only see the way that they have been told. Innovators are the rare breed, but innovators are also among us and within us. Here are five perspectives of being innovative.

Perception

Perception is one’s interpretation of reality. Perception is based on people’s thought processes which are influenced by their thinking styles and cognitive understanding, as well as the breadth and depth of knowledge, etc. A perceptive mind is subjective but can be open enough to embrace other minds’ perception. Having a learning attitude allows us to become more positive and gives us the energy to overcome obstacles and practice creativity frequently.

How we wish to impact the world creatively has to be in alignment with our perception. With an ever-changing world, it is important to consciously update perceptions for things we are not sure or people we do not know well. The purpose is to make appropriate adjustments and lead changes creatively.

Plasticity

Neuroplasticity refers to the life­long capacity of the brain to change and rewire itself in response to the stimulation of learning and experience. In neuronal terms, this involves disabling some of the “wiring” and working on the new ones. All of that requires a deliberate mental effort. The cognition involves exploring varieties of meanings or thoughts, abandoning old connections, and establishing new relations to trigger creativity.

A creative mind with plasticity is able to absorb all necessary knowledge and adjust its thinking processes according to changes in its environment, as well as applying the acquired knowledge and lessons to succeed in new situations, in order to connect wider dots for sparking creativity.

Pattern Recognition

Patterns are defined as “solutions of problems in a context” with a body of “descriptions of forces.” Pattern thinking is a type of creative thinking because sometimes when we tie patterns together, we can navigate among them for figuring out alternative solutions. Patterns are containers for describing relationships; pattern thinking is a type of hybrid thinking to combine design thinking, architect thinking, system thinking, and visual thinking for creative problem-solving.

To be creative, you need to continually discover new patterns. It requires you to keep your eyes open and keep your mind off the box in order to break down the conventional thinking box and actively seek out new ideas wherever you can discover them.

Problem-Solving

Innovation is all about the madness of solving problems and doing things in a better way. Unless there is a problem, there is no creativity. Creativity needs a problem, and a creative person needs a purpose. Being creative is about how to solve a problem intelligently and come up with elegant solutions. Change, creativity, and problem-solving are all interrelated.

It takes courage to get out of conventional thinking box, practice creative thinking to come out novel ideas, broaden thoughts and connect wider dots for coming up with better solutions. You never know how innovative you might be in some field before encountering the problems and before the adoption of solutions. Creative problem-solvers are able to reframe circumstances or conditions around a problem and solve it in an alternative way.

Personality

People are different; we all have different characters, personalities, favorite activities, strengths, and weaknesses. When we say personality, we are talking about mindsets, traits, emotions, attitudes or behavior. Thinking is the seed that molds and makes one’s life. The way we think has much of effect and impact on how we interact with the world.

Extroverts can share ideas or thoughts by interacting with others or the environment proactively; introverts can spend more time on contemplation, often creativity is nurtured in solitude. Both personality types have great opportunities to be creative. Both introverts and extroverts need to learn how to think profoundly, connect interdisciplinary dots, be open to new experiences, and tolerate ambiguity for stimulating creativity.

Innovators are among us and within us, spot them by how they think and do things differently. Empower them to build the culture of innovation. The world needs more of creative thinkers who can handle the ever-increasing complexities and discover the unique path for leading digital transformation smoothly.

By Pearl Zhu

About the author

Pearl Zhu is an innovative “Corporate Global Executive” with more than twenty-one years of technical and business working experience in strategic planning, Information Technology, software development, e-commerce and international trading, etc. She holds a master’s degree in Computer Science from the University of Southern California, and she lives in the San Francisco Bay Area for 15+ years. She is the author of the Digital Master book series and the Future of CIO blog.

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January 29, 2019 at 08:13PM

What You Must Know Before Creating an Innovation Culture

What You Must Know Before Creating an Innovation Culture

What You Must Know Before Creating an Innovation Culture

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by John Bessant

If we’re serious about developing an innovation culture it probably helps to explore a little bit more around what’s involved….

Raise your hand if you don’t want an innovation culture in your organization.

Ask this question in any gathering of managers, and it’s a fair bet you won’t be seeing a sea of arms waving in the air. Who’d want the kind of organization in which people went around with their heads down and their brains running in neutral? Who’d like to work in the sort of place where people were afraid to try things out or to experiment? Who’d stay with the kind of organization that wanted them only to do as told and not to challenge or play?

If we’re serious about wanting an innovation culture, then we need to be clear about two things:

What is an “innovation culture?”

What steps should you take to get to an “innovation culture?”

Let’s start with the first question, and it’s a big one: What is an innovation culture? But before we look at innovation culture specifically, it’s worth understanding what any kind of culture is. One useful starting point comes from the work of former MIT Sloan School of Management professor Edgar Schein, one of the leading experts in organizational culture. According to Schein, culture is, at its simplest, a shared pattern of beliefs which shape our behavior – it’s “the way we do things around here.”

Schein’s model suggests that this starts with our own beliefs and values which shape how we behave. And that’s all we need if we are solitary hermits. But since we interact with others, we come to a pattern of shared beliefs and values leading to commonly agreed on behavioral norms. These become practiced and refined so that eventually they are “the way we do things around here.” Behaving in this pattern means we create “artifacts” that reinforce and express our culture. For example, in the office, there are patterns of behavior reinforced by policies, procedures, processes, physical layouts, etc.

It’s worth thinking about this. We know a great deal about ancient Egyptian life without having met a single ancient Egyptian. Instead, we can reconstruct the pattern of shared values, behaviors, and beliefs from the artifacts found in tombs and pyramids.

So, culture is a pattern of shared values and beliefs leading to shared behaviors. And an innovation culture is just that: the kind of beliefs and behaviors we’d expect to see in a place where people believed certain things about innovation are important.

Learning from the innovation greats

What are the kinds of things which we believe are valuable and which we might use to shape our behaviors? One place to look might be to study great innovators and see what they would say. There’s no shortage of pithy quotes to help us, for example:

“To turn really interesting ideas and fledgling technologies into a company that can continue to innovate for years, it requires a lot of discipline.” – Steve Jobs

“Nearly every man who develops an idea works it up to the point where it looks impossible, and then he gets discouraged. That’s not the place to become discouraged.” – Thomas Edison

“Some of the best inventive moments are born out of ‘wrong thinking.’ Most people start with the right way so they all follow the same path. The wrong way will lead to mistakes from which you can learn and create new discoveries – the kind of original ideas that come to life when we dare to be different, keep an open mind, and have no fear of failure.” – James Dyson

“Innovation happens when people are given the freedom to ask questions and the resources and power to find the answers.” – Richard Branson

But we should be careful not to take all of this “wisdom” at face value. For example, would we be happy following Nikola Tesla’s beliefs and behavior patterns? He was undoubtedly a great innovator (about the only thing he didn’t have a crack at was the vehicle which bears his name!).
nikola-tesla

But he was also slightly odd. For example, he was obsessed with the number three, washing his hands three times in a row and walking around a building three times before entering.

Tesla is typical of many great individual innovators. As Melissa Schilling eloquently demonstrates in her book, Quirky: The Remarkable Story of the Traits, Foibles, and Genius of Breakthrough Innovators Who Changed the World, they are often a bit eccentric.

To counteract this individual quirky effect, we could look at pairs and trios of innovators – and again we have plenty of examples. Procter and Gamble, Hewlett and Packard, Jobs and Wozniak, Gates and Allen, Brin and Page. What’s interesting here is that it’s often the differences in the way these individuals believe and behave which gives rise to the innovative culture in their organizations. The way they spark off each other helps create the kind of values and behaviors which work.
Diversity matters

We can see this, even more, when we look at high performing innovation teams. There’s been a lot of research in this space, and a key message emerges: diversity matters.

Meredith Belbin’s famous studies of group roles, which effectively capture behaviors contributed by different individuals, show that “Apollo teams,” made up of many similar brilliant minds, are not very good. The best performance comes from a mix of varied people. And we can see this particularly well if we look at organizations in the creative industries where innovation is a crucial survival factor. It’s not just great people coming up with bright ideas; it’s also a battlefield of arguments about shaping those ideas into something which works.

Conflict and argument aren’t bad – the key is being able to work with them. Pixar, the studio which brought you “Toy Story,” among other award-winning animated films, is famous for this. As Ed Catmull explains in his excellent book, Creativity, Inc., Overcoming the Unseen Forces That Stand in the Way of True Inspiration, success isn’t an accident; it comes down to finding a way of working, which is challenging and stretching.

So, an “innovation culture” involves core beliefs and behaviors that are not just about being prepared to suggest and create but also about articulating and enabling constructive conflict as well as adapting and pivoting ideas in the interests and direction of better ones.

This also brings in the idea of leadership – someone who helps reinforce and guide the culture but who also gives it a sense of overall direction. In the book, “The Illusion of Leadership,” author Piers Ibbotson makes the point that a great theater or film director doesn’t impose his or her ideas but instead works with the situation and the emerging ideas. Their role is to channel and shape them.

We can see this in famous examples of innovation teams, which have accomplished extraordinary things, such as the original Skunk Works producing a jet fighter from zero in six months, or the fascinating exploits of the pioneers of the car component industry, the ‘Barn Gang’ under Boss Kettering. Prototyping and fast failure are not new ideas – they’re deeply rooted in this kind of experience.

There is no one-size-fits-all solution

Recipes of this sort are powerful in the small, focused teams in a theater or film – or indeed in the startup where there are high uncertainty and a need for creativity and a strong sense of shared purpose. But what about the growing and larger organizations? What about the public sector where the core tasks are about reproducibility and consistency? What about maintaining levels of service and quality? How do we build an innovation culture here?

The answer is not to look for a one-size-fits-all solution. Trying to turn the whole organization into a startup is likely to bring it crashing down. Equally, running it as a business-as-usual supertanker runs the risk of crashing slowly but heavily into the rocks because of an inability to turn fast enough.

Instead, it’s about looking to identify and build sub-cultures – coherent and complementary ways of working with the innovation challenge. A handful of the top-level beliefs about the importance of innovation can wrap around everyone. But there’s scope for variations on the theme as the organization confronts different tasks. It’s a little like tribes uniting behind a leader, pooling their distinct strengths and skills to create a powerful country.

For example, the organization might have a mainstream R&D group, but it also recognizes the need to think outside the box and explore potentially disruptive innovations via an entrepreneur lab. It might have core innovation routes to market but also sees the need for a corporate venture unit to examine various ways of exploiting their knowledge base. At its heart it might be running a collaboration platform, enabling high involvement across its workforce, aimed at delivering a steady stream of continuous improvements in its products, processes, and services. And it might be exploring new ways of working with users, deploying crowdsourcing and other tools as it seeks to open itself up to a changing innovation game.

All of these, and others, will require a commitment to innovation, but the kinds of behavior and underlying beliefs will vary considerably. It’s not a case of one being better than the other but rather the need for diversity in approach to deal with a complex external challenge.

A spectrum of innovation cultures

This idea of diverse parts of the organization innovating in different ways isn’t a new insight. Way back in the 1960s, Tom Burns and George Stalker carried out a seminal piece of research looking at cultures for innovation. They examined disparate environments and found that there was innovation in all of them – but it took different forms and involved various behaviors and beliefs. Their work identified a spectrum of innovation cultures with two poles.

At one end of the spectrum were “mechanistic cultures,” concerned with incremental innovation, and doing what we do but better. Typical of this kind of culture would be the production line or call center where there is certainly scope for innovation but where we don’t want a radical challenge. (Would you be happy if the factory worker helping produce the drugs which you take for your health suddenly decided to approach his or her job with the mindset of a disruptive innovator?!)

At the other end of the spectrum we’d find the R&D lab, or the startup boot-camp – a place where it is legitimate to take big risks, to challenge and break taboos, to disrupt, and to accept a high level of failure as part of a learning journey.

Smart organizations today try to create different vehicles for the innovation journey, building complementary sub-cultures which work together to deliver the context in which ideas, big and small, incremental and radical, can combine to create value. It’s the same pattern in both the private and public sector – mobilizing people in diverse ways to contribute.

That helps a lot with our first question of “What is Innovation Culture?” – but we still must work out an answer to the second: “How do we create an innovation culture?” It’s a theme we’ll return to shortly in another blog piece.

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John Bessant has been active in research, teaching, and consulting in technology and innovation management for over 25 years. Today, he is Chair in Innovation and Entrepreneurship, and Research Director, at Exeter University. In 2003, he was awarded a Fellowship with the Advanced Institute for Management Research and was also elected a Fellow of the British Academy of Management. He has acted as advisor to various national governments and international bodies including the United Nations, The World Bank, and the OECD. John has authored many books including Managing innovation and High Involvement Innovation (Wiley). Follow @johnbessant

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January 13, 2019 at 04:00PM